Nate Silver Presidential Prediction 2024 Presidential. Nate silver, a statistician and poker player who founded fivethirtyeight, has been delivering daily polling averages and forecasts for the november election based on his model. Table with 6 columns and 35.

Vice president kamala harris inched ahead of former president donald trump by the narrowest of margins in both polling guru nate silver and fivethirtyeight’s final. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.